僵尸末日生存指南
I got an email last week from my schoolmate Patrick about the individual project of New Concept Development class which will cover the solutions to 5 random problems in our daily lives. He proposed an interesting topic of " How to survive the inevitable zombie holocaust ?" He said:
僵尸末日生存指南
"The problem of surviving a zombie apocalypse has many approaches being circulated in the mainstream media. Some of the more useful ones have been sealing oneself off from the outside world in a bomb shelter or safe room, the biological or technological approach where science is used to subjugate or exterminate the zombie hordes, and the surrender approach of just giving in and joining the zombie multitude in triumphant celebration of existential hedonism."
传统方法:暴力或者躲藏: bomb shelter/safe room, 大杀器。
"To save oneself in this instance one should start a religion where you install yourself as sovereign king. The sleight of hand occurs when you attempt to convince the first zombie to join your religious cult in David Koresh style. If one zombie can be convinced of your divinity the rest are only dominoes ready to be pushed over. To convince this first zombie you’ll have to describe the evil that awaits him or her on the other side, and that you’re the only hope for zombie salvation. ... ...With a zombie army under your control you could effectively rebuild society, but in your image. This solution maintains a community......Evolution has created predictable patterns in human thinking and the creation of civilization has left a regression trail that can be followed if one knows where to find the trailhead. "
Patrick的方法: 人类R自创一个以R为中心的宗教体系,尝试说服第一个僵尸A加入你的组织(以David Koresh方式),僵尸作为一个心智不健全且群体概念很强的物种,B会效仿,C会跟进,其他僵尸就会慢慢加入视R人类为领袖,以一支强大的僵尸军队为后盾,R可以很方便的以他的想法开始重建文明。这种方法保持了社群的存在,另一种形式的”改朝换代“
Ok, to make it simple and easy to understand, I demonstrated his solution as below, basically the evolution process looks like this:
There are two obvious flaws in his scenario:
a. Can the livings and the walking-deads effectively communicate with each other ?, despite the fact that the zombie is a intelligent creature as most of zombie movies indicate.
b. In order to better convince the first zombie to join your religious cult, you might have to be part of the zombie community but you have no idea what would happen after that, would you still be able to remember the whole plan?
此模式的两个缺陷:
1 活人和僵尸是否能够进行有效交流,即便僵尸是智能生物。
2 很大可能,僵尸A无法信任人类R,人类R要首先变成僵尸R,但是僵尸R的想法和人类R还会是一样的吗?
I sent him my opinions in the weekend and we both agreed it is a fun but complicated issue that deserves further research. So we spent an afternoon and did a little study about it, and now I'd like to share our results with you guys:
进一步研究结果:
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I. How fast do we need to deal with the outbreak?
一 僵尸末日的爆发速度
It is possible to successfully fend off a zombie attack, according to Canadian mathematicians. The key is to “hit hard and hit often.”
The mathematics model estimates the timeframe of the world being completely took over by the zombies assume a infectious disease is causing the outbreak. And the possibility of fending off the zombie attack if a ideal number of human being are still alive.
The basic model is like this:
根据一群加拿大数学家的计算,如果对僵尸”攻击不断,一击毙命“的话,抵挡住一定数量的僵尸进攻还是可能的。
这个模型可以预算因为传染性疾病所导致的僵尸潮爆发,接着人类世界毁灭的时间。
Susceptible (S).
Zombie (Z).
Removed (R).
The model focuses on modern zombies, which are “very different from the voodoo and the folklore zombies.” It takes into account the possibility of quarantine (could lead to eradication, but unlikely to happen) and treatment (some humans survive, but they still must coexist with zombies), but shows that there is only one strategy likely to succeed: “impulsive eradication.”
“Only sufficiently frequent attacks, with increasing force, will result in eradication, assuming the available resources can be mustered in time,” they concluded.
这个数学模型主要的对象是”快速移动"的现代僵尸,考虑了隔离和共存的因素。最后的结果显示只有一种有效的策略: impulsive eradication. 集合所有的资源和人力,进行反击。
And if we don’t act fast enough?
“If the timescale of the outbreak increases, then the result is the doomsday scenario: an outbreak of zombies will result in the collapse of civilization, with every human infected, or dead,” they wrote. “This is because human births and deaths will provide the undead with a limitless supply of new bodies to infect, resurrect and convert.”
How fast do we need to deal with the outbreak? Here’s the equation they used, where S = susceptibles, Z = zombies and R = removed. If an infection breaks out in a city of 500,000 people, the zombies will outnumber the susceptibles in about three days.
如果我们没有及时行动呢?
如果爆发的时间延续太长,结果就是世界末日: 文明崩塌,每个人类不是被传染就是死翘翘。主要原因是人类的出生和死亡都会为僵尸们提供无限的食物来源和攻击对象,结果就是僵尸越来越多无法控制。
有多快? 如果病毒在一座500,000人口的城市里爆发,三天以内,僵尸的数量就会超过人类。
Reference:
“When Zombies Attack!: Mathematical Modelling of an Outbreak of Zombie Infection,” [pdf] by Philip Munz, Ioan Hudea, Joe Imad and Robert J, Smith?. In “Infectious Disease Modelling Research Progress,” eds. J.M. Tchuenche and C. Chiyaka, Nova Science Publishers, Inc. pp. 133-150, 2009.
II. How to survive?
二, 如何保命?
Our survival will depend on a number of factors:
我们总结的因素主要有以下这些:
1. Are the dead returning to life as “runners” (as in 28 Days Later and Dead Set) or as “walkers” (as in Shaun of the Dead )
僵尸是跑步的还是走路的? 最直接的问题,僵尸比你跑的快你就肯定死翘翘。
2. Are the re-animated seeking living flesh or are they being more picky, specifically going after the brains of the living? If they’re settling for dead corpses, you’re in luck: there’ll be plenty of dead neighbours/colleagues/family members bodies out there. On the other hand, if they’re after human brains, you’re really in trouble.
僵尸是吃肉还是比较挑食的专吃脑子?如果只要是尸体他们都感兴趣,那还好。因为会有很多的尸体供他们享用,另一种情况的话。。。就麻烦了。人脑是稀缺资源阿。。
3. Is the zombie virus spread by bites alone or by blood infection ? If the latter, you really are in trouble.
僵尸病毒是只通过咬人还是可以通过任何血液接触传播。后者比较麻烦。
4. Is the government/army on your side?
政府/军队站在你这一边吗。很关键但是很多时候很难讲的问题(想想浣熊镇)
5. Location. A shopping mall, as is well known, is ideal, nearby gun store is a plus. Avoid apartment buildings and downtown coffee shops etc.
地点。超市商场是最理想的选择,附近有枪店就更棒了。远离公寓和餐馆。
6. Is the zombie plague confined to your city/country, or is it international. If the latter, then I’m afraid you’re screwed.
僵尸潮是否被控制在你的城市或者国家的范围?还是全球性的? 后者你就等死吧
Two important general points:
两个重要的常识:
First: Zombies can running but they are nevertheless dead. That means time is on your side. Two words: flesh rots. Especially the eyes, then the teeth (That means they can't see you or bite you after a few days!)
第一,僵尸总归还是死物,也就是说,时间拖得越长对你越有力。肌肉会腐烂,先是眼睛然后是牙齿,这下他们看不到也咬不到人了,慢慢玩死他们。
Second: After you watching the oddly vague reports on the CNN news about “serious incidents throughout the country” accompanied by shots of fires filmed from the air. Start to run, away from the people, the zombie holocaust will come bewilderingly quickly — somewhere between 90 and 120 minutes.
第二, 如果你在电视上看到有关“全国性严重事件并且伴随着航拍的枪战“的新闻, 赶快整理东西跑吧,僵尸大屠杀的到来比你想象的要快很多,90-120分钟之内。
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What are you chances?
测测你的存活击率。猛击下面
http://www.oneplusyou.com/bb/zombie
lcdalex